Monday Aug 30, 2010
An ABM model of Organizational Performance in Emergency Environments
An article in JASSS reports a model of emergency response and concludes that organisations respond more efficiently when they communicate freely at working level.
Simulating in silos - 'The Economist' discovers ABMs
An article in the Economist for 11 July 2010 argues that economic forecasting should make use of agent-based modelling (ABM). That it does not yet seem to have used ABM is a good example of the way simulation takes place in silos.
Sunday Jun 6, 2010
Simulations of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill: a study in comparative openness.
The official US govenrment site contains excellent documentation of sightings and a list of sofgtware tools including:
- GNOME:, the "General NOAA Operational Modeling Environment) is the oil spill trajectory model used by OR&R Emergency Response Division (ERD) responders during an oil spill.".
Monday May 31, 2010
My vicar recently introduced me to the concept of 'liturgical east': a kind of simulation for spiritual purposes. The underlying tradition, that geography has spiritual dimensions, needs to be revisited.
Friday Dec 4, 2009
Resources for PMML
Predictive Model Markup Language (PMML) is an XML standard for the representation and exchange of data mining models.
Sunday Aug 30, 2009
Dicing with swine flu.
The Daily Mail reports a UK government 'simulation' of swine flu, designed as a business continuity training tool largely for NHS units.
Sunday Jan 25, 2009
Is there such a thing as a simple simulation?
I was involved in a discussion the other day (no names, no pack drill) with someone who offered to provde a working 'simulation' which required only ten lines of prose to state. (No technology, no website, just 10 lines of prose.) I haven't seen it, but I confess I am sceptical and have been worrying about it ever since.
Sunday Nov 30, 2008
Accuracy vs effectiveness in counter-insurgency
Just come across an article in JASSS, based on a simple model of how governments might respond to insurgency.
Tuesday Nov 25, 2008
How does data scale
Fascinating posting on Good Math, Bad Math arguing that we have much more data now, and that we can use this to discover new relationships, but at the same time there are new problems.