Simulation: the weblog


Monday Aug 30, 2010

An ABM model of Organizational Performance in Emergency Environments

An article in JASSS reports a model of emergency response and concludes that organisations respond more efficiently when they communicate freely at working level.

Posted on Aug 30, 10 | 7:46 am |

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Simulating in silos - 'The Economist' discovers ABMs

An article in the Economist for 11 July 2010 argues that economic forecasting should make use of agent-based modelling (ABM). That it does not yet seem to have used ABM is a good example of the way simulation takes place in silos.

Posted on Aug 30, 10 | 7:02 am |

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Sunday Jun 6, 2010

Simulations of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill: a study in comparative openness.

The official US govenrment site contains excellent documentation of sightings and a list of sofgtware tools including:
- GNOME:, the "General NOAA Operational Modeling Environment) is the oil spill trajectory model used by OR&R Emergency Response Division (ERD) responders during an oil spill.".

Posted on Jun 06, 10 | 8:15 am |

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Monday May 31, 2010

Liturgical east

My vicar recently introduced me to the concept of 'liturgical east': a kind of simulation for spiritual purposes. The underlying tradition, that geography has spiritual dimensions, needs to be revisited.

Posted on May 31, 10 | 12:57 pm |

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Friday Dec 4, 2009

Resources for PMML

Predictive Model Markup Language (PMML) is an XML standard for the representation and exchange of data mining models.

Posted on Dec 04, 09 | 8:41 am |

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Sunday Aug 30, 2009

Dicing with swine flu.

The Daily Mail reports a UK government 'simulation' of swine flu, designed as a business continuity training tool largely for NHS units.

Posted on Aug 30, 09 | 1:47 pm |

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Sunday Jan 25, 2009

Is there such a thing as a simple simulation?

I was involved in a discussion the other day (no names, no pack drill) with someone who offered to provde a working 'simulation' which required only ten lines of prose to state. (No technology, no website, just 10 lines of prose.) I haven't seen it, but I confess I am sceptical and have been worrying about it ever since.

Posted on Jan 25, 09 | 4:29 pm |

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Sunday Nov 30, 2008

Accuracy vs effectiveness in counter-insurgency

Just come across an article in JASSS, based on a simple model of how governments might respond to insurgency.

Posted on Nov 30, 08 | 8:55 am |

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Tuesday Nov 25, 2008

How does data scale

Fascinating posting on Good Math, Bad Math arguing that we have much more data now, and that we can use this to discover new relationships, but at the same time there are new problems.

Posted on Nov 25, 08 | 8:36 am |

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Friday Oct 10, 2008

World's biggest fire drill?

According to local news reports the Phoenix (USA) Fire Department is holding "the world's largest fire drill".

Posted on Oct 10, 08 | 8:23 am |

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